16 November 2016
In our recent Aluminium Weekly Market Tracker (AMT) reports, we have discussed aluminium prices could experience a bout of short-term upward momentum based on underlying technical trends, more upbeat sentiment towards China and the removal of uncertainties surrounding the US presidential election. However, the outcome to the election was a surprise, and given that our aluminium price forecast was conditional on Hillary Clinton winning the US presidency, a new reality now needs to be considered. Now in light of Donald Trump’s victory, we will analyze here how Trump’s policies could possibly affect our price forecast.
16 March 2016
After aluminium premiums experienced a white-knuckle roller-coaster ride over the course of the past three years, they seem to have found a bottom over the past six months and have been recovering in the final two months of 2015. However, premiums have switched on the ‘falling mode’ again this year. So are the factors that caused last time’s plunge the same ones that caused this year’s decline?