Forecasts and market analysis based on price assessments from Fastmarkets MB and Fastmarkets AMM

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May 2018 | Aluminium Weekly Market Tracker

Primary and Secondary Fundamental Analysis

Analysis of consumption and production of primary aluminium, and an analysis of the market drivers of secondary aluminium and aluminium.

Demand Analysis

US aluminium premiums nudged higher last week while Asian and Rotterdam rates softened, reflecting different patterns of demand across the globe as markets adjust to changes in trade flows following the United State’s imposition of sanctions on producer UC Rusal.

US Midwest premium inches up on strong demand, rising freight
The US Midwest delivered aluminium spot premium edged higher to 22-22.5 cents per lb on Tuesday May 8, as buyers have become increasingly alert to the tightening of availability, while sellers are hesitant to jump back into the market given the high levels of uncertainty due to shifting trade regulations and political events. But at the same time real demand for the metal remains strong on the back of ongoing economic strength, which means that buyers will have to jump back in soon.

In addition, tight capacity and higher costs in the US freight market...


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