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Forecasts and market analysis based on price assessments from Fastmarkets MB and Fastmarkets AMM

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January 2019 | Aluminium Weekly Market Tracker


Trade war the biggest external risk for global economy in 2019: Market Summary and Analysis


As long as China and the US continue to butt heads in 2019, the price of imported goods for consumers and businesses will continue to increase, slowing investment and consumer spending.

Trade war the biggest external risk for global economy in 2019 We believe that the trade war between China and US remains the biggest external risk for the world's two largest economies and will continue to weigh on the global economy in 2019. According to the Chinese Economy Blue Book 2019 published by the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS) at the end of last December, both China and the US would experience major decreases in exports and employment under all three scenarios when different rates of US tariffs are applied on different amounts of Chinese goods. Chinese stimulus may support demand So, as long as China and the US continue to butt heads in 2019, the price of imported goods for consumers and businesses will continue to increase, slowing investment and consumer spending. While China may deepen reforms to boost its manufacturing sector and may bring forward stimulus plans,...

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