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July 2012 | Base Metals


Lower cost curve may mean prices trade lower: Aluminium - Market Analysis


We still believe that aluminium prices may have to fall further to trigger smelter cutbacks, but for now prices may attempt to build a base.

There is little room for complacency

The fundamentals on aluminium remain bearish, global production continues to rise with output in May 5.8% higher than in April and 2.5% higher than in December. Given the economic outlook and the high levels of stocks both on and off exchange, there is just too much aluminium around. For now the surplus...

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